Frivolous-Diffuse
0xd188394ebc9757df38f51c43fde165668f58ae31
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$213.71
Total PnL
$-654.21
Realised
$4.52
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1690 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$41.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
428 shares @ 4.9¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.47
$7.47
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
578 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.40
$-2.60
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
767 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.47
$7.47
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.33
$8.33
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
39 shares @ 25.9¢·now 35.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.88
$3.88
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.59
$2.59
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 26.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.99
$1.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.015h ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- YIELD$0.022d ago
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMMariners vs. Blue Jays$0.002d ago
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on August 18?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 18?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill "Me Porto Bonito" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill "No Me Conoce - Remix" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill "La Jumpa" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 25, 7PM ET$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill "Yonaguni" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$0.002d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $8.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".