Horrible-Tablecloth
0xd19f0a2021123f9f197f5d95b828733968f13eab
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
167
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$-4.5K
Win rate
3%
164 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 167- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
2395 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.79
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
2189 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-297.31
- YES
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?
1941 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-561.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-263.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
978 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-277.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
478 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-183.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
350 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-131.15
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
325 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
291 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-118.08
- UNDER
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
285 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-108.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5AM ET$0.00Aug 15, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5AM ET$77.45Aug 15, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 14, 11PM ET$74.20Aug 15, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 14, 11PM ET$62.59Aug 15, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$21.30Aug 15, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$20.91Aug 15, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August?$109.05Aug 15, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.00Aug 12, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Aug 12, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$19.58Aug 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$2.10Aug 12, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.77Aug 12, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.05Aug 12, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$20.79Aug 12, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$17.58Aug 12, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2.12Aug 12, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$0.00Aug 12, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$19.71Aug 12, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$14.48Aug 12, 04:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 164 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
164 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $18.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 11:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 164 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.