0xd1a63ce093c0271e548aaac2cc3148942e72c472
0xd1a63ce093c0271e548aaac2cc3148942e72c472
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.22
Total PnL
$-6.94
Realised
$-1.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 14?
3 shares @ 68.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$2.85
$0.89
- NO
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
3 shares @ 76.9¢·now 56.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.84
$-0.66
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
China coup attempt before 2027?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-2.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?
4 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?$2.00Apr 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 14?$2.00Apr 14, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?$2.59Apr 14, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?$2.00Apr 13, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 28?$0.00Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 27?$0.00Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?$0.00Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?$0.00Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31?$2.30Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$2.84Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31?$1.50Mar 31, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 31?$0.10Mar 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$0.17Mar 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$0.14Mar 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 10 countries in 2026?$1.04Mar 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?$2.20Mar 26, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$1.84Mar 26, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.