Stale-Affiliate
0xd1a7e23445b943f14baeca0fb0d1692c160507cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-108.69
Realised
$4.78
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
158 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.17
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?
157 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-28.26
- NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
102 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.03
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?
61 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
36 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.22
- NO
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
34 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?
29 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?
28 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.54
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
17 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$0.09Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.03Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.04Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.38Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$0.37Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$0.02Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?$0.38Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.50Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.23Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.84Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.32Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$0.07Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.21Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.11Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$0.09Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?$0.21Feb 21, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.17Feb 21, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.14Feb 21, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$0.15Feb 21, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$0.32Feb 21, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.