0xd1acf36a5fbc2111c4ad1e472b7532ffbd2a99de
0xd1acf36a5fbc2111c4ad1e472b7532ffbd2a99de
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.49
Total PnL
$-1.68
Realised
$-0.45
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$5.00
$1.60
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.49
$-0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
10 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 3?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
5 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?$4.60Mar 3, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$4.53Mar 3, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$3.25Mar 3, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?$4.87Mar 3, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?$0.75Mar 3, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 1?$0.00Mar 3, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?$5.00Mar 3, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 1?$0.00Mar 3, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?$0.00Mar 3, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 1?$0.00Mar 3, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?$0.00Mar 3, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$3.83Mar 3, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?$3.25Mar 3, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$4.56Mar 3, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?$0.89Mar 3, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?$4.60Mar 3, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?$3.56Mar 3, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$4.65Mar 3, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$4.50Mar 3, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$5.00Mar 2, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.