Grizzled-Belligerency
0xd1af9a097714be3d0d0e2c826fe9a18def28701e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$-25.3K
Realised
$628.42
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
451696 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.7K
$129.18
- YES
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
8435 shares @ 3.9¢·now 13.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$779.45
- YES
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
5108 shares @ 3.3¢·now 6.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$344.80
$177.70
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
377 shares @ 24.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$152.80
$62.25
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?
700 shares @ 15.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$24.15
$-84.85
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
1843 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.75
$-34.65
- NO
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
12 shares @ 82.8¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.47
$-0.46
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?
507 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.12
$-12.17
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
136 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.40
$-4.77
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
570036 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$92.61Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$96.04Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$47.97Jun 12, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$25.38Jun 12, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$76.14Jun 12, 09:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$148.85Jun 11, 23:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$105.13Jun 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$10.00Jun 10, 17:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$1.74Jun 9, 13:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$140.08Jun 8, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$8.10Jun 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.30Jun 8, 19:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$25.84Jun 6, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $37.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.