Heavy-Outcome
0xd1b2e8d6068935416591b537831d585146393c63
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-89.05
Realised
$-3.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
532 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 1?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,100 on October 31?
77 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
72 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by November 30?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$118.90May 11, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$48.60May 8, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$5.00Jan 15, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$5.54Jan 15, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?$0.30Jan 10, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?$1.00Jan 9, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?$1.00Jan 9, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?$1.00Jan 8, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 5, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 31, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 31?$0.24Dec 30, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$5.00Dec 30, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 29?$2.32Dec 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 30?$2.07Dec 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLNo airdrop in 2025?$6.29Dec 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$11.18Dec 29, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$15.00Dec 29, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.