Gregarious-Bagpipe
0xd1bfc717f32c96806a3b32b3d4487d70c7df7780
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
169
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$11.38
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
2392 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$51.33
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
83 shares @ 88.8¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.13
$4.23
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.04
$-6.96
- YES
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-0.88
- YES
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?
17573 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-71.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
738 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-361.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
355 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
330 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-175.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
284 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$5.20Jun 13, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$20.64Jun 13, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.05Jun 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$5.17Jun 13, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$5.18Jun 13, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$14.75Jun 13, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$5.18Jun 13, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.06Jun 13, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.06Jun 13, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.05Jun 13, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.06Jun 13, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.05Jun 13, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.