Pale-Battery
0xd1e1807fb783880071e0369a6081fe300a9e7669
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$20.27
Total PnL
$-7.64
Realised
$-0.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?
2 shares @ 93.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.28
$0.00
- NO
GPT ads by December 31?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-05?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-05?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$303.09Nov 18, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?$2.00Nov 16, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?$10.00Nov 16, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$306.40Nov 16, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$319.80Nov 16, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$321.40Nov 16, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 4.5$3.00Nov 16, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Göztepe SK win on 2025-10-05?$3.70Nov 16, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gaziantep FK win on 2025-10-05?$5.00Nov 16, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Göztepe SK win on 2025-10-05?$2.00Oct 5, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gaziantep FK win on 2025-10-05?$2.00Oct 5, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-05?$1.00Oct 5, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-05?$2.00Oct 5, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-05?$2.00Oct 5, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$1.00Oct 5, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by December 31?$1.00Oct 5, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?$1.00Oct 5, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump apologize to Elon before July?$2.09Oct 5, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?$2.13Oct 5, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves Merck’s clesrovimab infant RSV prevention (MK‑1654)?$2.41Oct 5, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $48.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 05:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".