GeopoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 23, 2026

Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?

Probability

97¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.7pp

24h Vol

$4.53

Liquidity

$22.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:45
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1398h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $22.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1398.2h

    LOW
  • 17:45Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1398h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.6pp over the last 24h, now 97¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNew York Democratic Governor Primary Winner
Category · Geopolitics

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 23, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
natoOfficial government sourceextracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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