Flaky-Shadow
0xd1eed20edd22a289839379e89e3470ea1742a8ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$8.6K
Win rate
90%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
1042 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$16.67
- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
1017 shares @ 55.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$737.45
$170.20
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
948 shares @ 18.6¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$728.43
$551.72
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
482 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$477.50
$2.50
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?
496 shares @ 86.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$441.35
$12.35
- NO
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
441 shares @ 90.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$428.54
$28.54
- NO
Will New York Mets win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
413 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$403.86
$3.87
- NO
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
315 shares @ 95.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$307.93
$7.93
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
364 shares @ 81.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$287.50
$-7.28
- YES
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?
333 shares @ 78.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$271.06
$9.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Athletics$29.85Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.11Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$102.15Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Athletics$20.20Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$20.37Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$325.15Jun 12, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$4.90Jun 12, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$208.57Jun 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$279.58Jun 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$63.73Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$83.70Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$36.13Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$12.14Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$14.24Jun 12, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$11.58Jun 12, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$20.34Jun 12, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.41Jun 12, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$8.07Jun 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$35.40Jun 12, 11:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $47.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.