Sociable-Wrench
0xd203f946439211cbf46253ee59bf940c9dc107dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$24.95
Total PnL
$-6.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$0.40
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
20 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Feb 26, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Feb 2, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?$19.60Feb 1, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$6.60Jan 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$11.40Jan 10, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $10.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 14:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.