Honorable-Alder
0xd2208fc08dd76d4005288a915cef64c2e77754d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
174
Open notional
$1.69
Total PnL
$-105.53
Realised
$32.66
Win rate
74%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- YES
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
50 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.38
$0.23
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.30
$-0.59
- YES
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
35 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.23
$-0.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 16?
21 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.12
$-0.42
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17?
6 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.11
$-0.37
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16?
5 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.09
$-0.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17?
14 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.08
$-0.34
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16?
15 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.08
$-0.37
- NO
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
1 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$0.01Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$0.01Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$0.02Jun 13, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$0.01Jun 13, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$0.01Jun 13, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$0.01Jun 13, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$0.01Jun 13, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$0.01Jun 13, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$0.00Jun 12, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16?$0.45Jun 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16?$0.46Jun 11, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16?$0.14Jun 11, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17?$0.17Jun 11, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17?$0.25Jun 11, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$0.65Jun 11, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17?$0.48Jun 11, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 16?$0.04Jun 11, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 16?$0.04Jun 11, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 16?$0.04Jun 11, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 16?$0.04Jun 11, 09:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.