Authentic-Flexibility
0xd222ac4160be5850c7fa435e7131d9e7cd47fdb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$683.41
Total PnL
$-824.95
Realised
$-125.32
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1505 shares @ 15.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$142.93
$-92.26
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
1006 shares @ 23.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$105.66
$-125.49
- YES
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?
859 shares @ 10.3¢·now 7.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.90
$-20.70
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
412 shares @ 14.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.47
$-7.73
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
617 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$48.40
$-5.26
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
202 shares @ 24.7¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.36
$-3.35
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
305 shares @ 14.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.16
$-4.84
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1732 shares @ 9.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.38
$-132.63
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
209 shares @ 20.6¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.23
$-12.77
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
417 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$22.92
$0.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$3.00Jun 13, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.50Jun 13, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.22Jun 13, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$8.00Jun 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$10.38Jun 13, 14:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 13?$1.36Jun 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.87Jun 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Truist fail by June 30, 2026?$0.33Jun 12, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026?$1.33Jun 12, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$1.00Jun 12, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20.00Jun 12, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?$6.00Jun 12, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$11.42Jun 12, 06:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$15.00Jun 11, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$9.32Jun 11, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$12.43Jun 11, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$14.00Jun 11, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $11.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.