Treasured-Mangrove
0xd228424686153949055e80f4a052528e1041c9eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$44.67
Total PnL
$-8.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
41 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.52
$0.31
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.14
$-3.90
- YES
Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 1?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?$11.47Feb 18, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 7?$60.21Feb 18, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?$28.74Feb 7, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 7?$59.00Feb 7, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$7.04Jan 8, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$10.08Jan 4, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.04Jan 4, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$20.04Jan 4, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?$1.00Dec 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 1?$5.00Dec 1, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.00Nov 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$10.00Nov 18, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$20.00Nov 18, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $18.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 13:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".