Nocturnal-Wingman
0xd238ff9ad974e672e0c457998733c71683963d4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$6.18
Total PnL
$-97.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.17
$-0.02
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,600 on January 18?
6448 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 22?
5307 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 24?
4251 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6?
2109 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?
2078 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 1?
2057 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.17
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?
1825 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 8?
1816 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$10.03Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$10.00May 26, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$9.36May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$9.30May 20, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 15?$1.8KMay 16, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 15?$1.8KMay 16, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$1.8KMay 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$1.8KMay 15, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?$1.8KMay 15, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?$1.8KMay 14, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$1.8KMay 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$1.8KMay 14, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?$1.8KMay 14, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?$1.8KMay 14, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 13?$1.8KMay 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 13?$1.8KMay 13, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?$3.65May 12, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$3.63May 10, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 8?$3.63May 9, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 3?$0.00May 7, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".