Wallet digest

active

Activity score

84/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$41.50

Total PnL

$2.18

Realised

$-0.05

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

YES
Bitcoin above 72,200 on April 10, 12PM ET?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026
$10.30
$0.09
OVER
Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026
$5.91
$0.01
YES
Bitcoin above 72,200 on April 11, 11AM ET?
4 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026
$4.22
$0.04
NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 16?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026
$3.83
$0.02
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3AM ET
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026
$2.91
$1.89
NO
Bitcoin above 75,200 on April 13, 10PM ET?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026
$2.06
$0.02
YES
Bitcoin above 72,400 on April 11, 10AM ET?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026
$2.01
$0.01
NO
Bitcoin above 71,200 on April 13, 7AM ET?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026
$1.49
$0.03
YES
Bitcoin above 73,600 on April 13, 10PM ET?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026
$1.26
$0.01
YES
Bitcoin above 70,600 on April 12, 11AM ET?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026
$1.25
$0.02

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$2.62Apr 27, 07:53 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.02Apr 27, 01:49 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.02Apr 26, 19:42 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.02Apr 26, 08:57 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.12Apr 25, 07:06 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.26Apr 24, 15:49 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.14Apr 24, 15:49 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.19Apr 24, 13:21 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.03Apr 23, 12:18 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.15Apr 23, 11:55 UTC
REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$18.57Apr 22, 15:55 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.04Apr 22, 14:54 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$16.90Apr 22, 13:41 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.05Apr 22, 12:05 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.05Apr 22, 11:36 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.07Apr 22, 08:10 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.11Apr 21, 14:12 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$0.85Apr 21, 05:14 UTC
REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?$36.28Apr 21, 00:16 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?$1.04Apr 20, 17:35 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry6 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk51 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $3.50
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 16, 00:47 UTC
Last active: Apr 27, 07:53 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 20:51:00 UTC·src:Polymarket Data