Wiggly-Causal
0xd24943b52469c50577695cf73bef8d25286a8e9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.65
Total PnL
$-18.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
324 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
179 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
147 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
69 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
19 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
12 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
8 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$1.00Apr 25, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Equality" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.34Feb 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Equality" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$6.50Feb 23, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Equality" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.30Feb 23, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Equality" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Feb 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$2.00Feb 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.95Feb 12, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.83Feb 12, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$2.20Feb 12, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$4.16Feb 12, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$4.26Feb 12, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.34Feb 12, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 23:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".