Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Probability
36¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$540.39
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $1.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 90.3h
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 7¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Other · Vol $1.1K
- 42¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Other · Vol $1.2K
- 11¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Other · Vol $620.89
- 5¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Other · Vol $1.3K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Other · Vol $890.57
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Other · Vol $986.40
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Other · Vol $862.53
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Other · Vol $2.6K
- 1¢-0.1pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $369.8K
- 100¢+54.4pp
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $320.9K
- 0¢-2.5pp
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $289.8K
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $289.6K
- 84¢-4.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $229.5K
- 1¢-9.8pp
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $227.6K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 27 12:00 PM ET to April 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.