Grown-Oat
0xd24af92244a61ca0e3b0a8eee318589e9a91b6f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$481.25
Total PnL
$270.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
481 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$481.25
$404.25
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?
256 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026?
169 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
81 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 25, 2026?
62 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$77.00Mar 28, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 25, 2026?$10.00Mar 24, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?$5.00Mar 24, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?$5.00Mar 24, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026?$29.00Mar 24, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$50.00Mar 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$5.00Mar 24, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 24, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026?$20.00Mar 24, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $23.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 21:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.