Scornful-Outlook
0xd26a60331b158e0cf228e45a6afb41e9a8e537a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-867.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
35450 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.0K
$53.14
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
4260 shares @ 47.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.8K
$-234.30
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3762 shares @ 9.8¢·now 4.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$161.41
$-206.93
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
416 shares @ 27.1¢·now 35.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$147.77
$35.00
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
432 shares @ 8.8¢·now 29.4¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$126.89
$88.94
- YES
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
612 shares @ 16.3¢·now 19.4¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$118.40
$18.40
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
334 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$103.63
$3.34
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
558 shares @ 18.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$89.29
$-15.12
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
814 shares @ 12.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$68.80
$-35.92
- YES
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
79 shares @ 4.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$6.92
$3.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?$3.39Jul 29, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$64.60Jul 29, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$47.16Jul 29, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$27.64Jul 24, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$87.16Jul 24, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?$60.69Jul 24, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$7.29Jul 22, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$21.64Jul 22, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$67.84Jul 22, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$45.70Jul 20, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$11.30Jul 20, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$32.39Jul 20, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMFight to Go the Distance?$3.23Jul 19, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$1.03Jul 19, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$1.03Jul 19, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$1.04Jul 19, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$1.04Jul 19, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$1.04Jul 19, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)$1.04Jul 19, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)$1.04Jul 19, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.