Velvety-Cocoa
0xd277d42afd8d92660d141211cacff15faf611f89
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
1473 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13?
990 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
738 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 3?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 13?
603 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?
566 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 6?
535 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 13?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 15?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?$113.11Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?$113.01Jul 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$3.09Jul 18, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $108 in June?$116.21Jun 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $108 in June?$116.01Jun 27, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of June 22 2026?$116.12Jun 26, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of June 22 2026?$116.00Jun 26, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 8 2026?$115.33Jun 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 8 2026?$115.01Jun 12, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$6.57Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$10.85Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$6.14Jun 1, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on May 31?$11.48Jun 1, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.12Jun 1, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$77.87Jun 1, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$77.64May 31, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$77.67May 31, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$77.52May 30, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on May 31?$11.45May 30, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Canada vs. USA$10.00May 30, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $73.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.