Tricky-Act
0xd280d798abc67f34bf5e961494bfcf49280154f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$51.71
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$7.99
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2583 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$40.04
$9.04
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.78
$-4.22
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.28
$-4.72
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.35
$-9.65
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-9.74
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
1176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
361 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.81
- HEREWEGOAGAIN
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs
136 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-58.31
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
131 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $62.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.