Untimely-Catamaran
0xd286b6c35efc7fada932e4b0d6ce9ffc2bcf2322
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-30.7K
Realised
$-205.51
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
13831 shares @ 38.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.9K
$-2.4K
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
12947 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$899.85
$-136.26
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
412 shares @ 48.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$352.47
$153.06
- YES
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
5876 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$273.23
$-79.75
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1124 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$157.91
$0.26
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
356 shares @ 18.7¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$66.38
$-0.21
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
65 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.52
$-0.10
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
361995 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.5K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
128961 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
51734 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$14.77May 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$160.34May 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$45.58May 15, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$129.68May 15, 13:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuela become 51st state?$219.11May 13, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela become 51st state?$64.00May 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$63.31May 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela become 51st state?$2.00May 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela become 51st state?$600.00May 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$601.63May 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$103.36May 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$104.01May 13, 03:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$66.95May 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$517.17May 12, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $180.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".