Alarmed-Perspective
0xd294030234798e342b1f06523dceb95e8c7edc53
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.82
Total PnL
$-4.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$1.56
$0.58
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on April 13?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?$1.01Jun 10, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$1.20Jun 10, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$1.03Jun 10, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 27?$1.00Apr 27, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?$1.00Apr 27, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?$1.00Apr 27, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?$1.20Apr 27, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMRussell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on April 22?$1.18Apr 27, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on April 22?$1.00Apr 22, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Apr 22, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?$0.00Apr 22, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 9?$1.33Apr 22, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?$1.93Apr 22, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?$1.08Apr 22, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?$1.00Apr 22, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDAX (DAX) Up or Down on April 13?$1.00Apr 11, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?$0.33Apr 10, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 9?$1.00Apr 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$1.00Apr 9, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 07:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 18:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.