Reasonable-Quicksand
0xd29a84905eb550fdc33473f44b7c3457ecbb9f42
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$19.62
Total PnL
$8.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.00
$2.10
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4 shares @ 62.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.98
$1.49
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
4 shares @ 63.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.60
$1.30
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.05
$1.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
3 shares @ 35.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$2.70
$1.73
- NO
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.30
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$1.43Jun 5, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$1.12May 27, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.95May 18, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.53May 7, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.30Apr 21, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$1.00Apr 13, 04:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.