Pleased-Sandpaper
0xd2aefe830ebe42d817a65c7b2bccab0ec362f36b
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$244.16
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$39.94
Win rate
52%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
329 shares @ 26.1¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$108.67
$22.79
- NO
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
110 shares @ 59.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$67.10
$2.20
- YES
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?
121 shares @ 23.7¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.47
$2.79
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$12.60
$0.20
- YES
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
400 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.60
$-1.40
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Albania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
270 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.48
$-5.05
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.15
$-0.05
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
4755 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.9526m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$6.9034m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$2.7347m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$13.4049m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$23.1752m ago
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$32.2755m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$17.7056m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$5.111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.162h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$13.202h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$6.602h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$11.252h ago
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.842h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$17.702h ago
- TRADESELLWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$23.142h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.942h ago
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$24.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$20.732h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$6.722h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?$18.002h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16h ago
- Last active
- 26m ago
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".