Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?
Probability
32¢
1h
-7.0pp
24h
-11.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$9.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 11pp over 24h
Now 32¢; -7.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6012h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 16.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6012.1h
- 16:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6012h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:54PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 32¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 39¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 39¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 44¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 44¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 37¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Chainlink (LINK/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the LINK/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/LINK_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance LINK/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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