Sane-Sprout
0xd2b86da404bc36bab60777a18e2e4f7197a88cf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$-144.87
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
1217 shares @ 33.7¢·now 31.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$383.44
$-26.56
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
2324 shares @ 34.4¢·now 14.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$337.01
$-462.98
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1646 shares @ 30.4¢·now 20.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$336.55
$-163.45
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
908 shares @ 57.3¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$281.53
$-238.47
- YES
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
482 shares @ 62.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$151.73
$-148.58
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
2695 shares @ 22.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$148.23
$-448.80
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1897 shares @ 18.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$142.25
$-205.75
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
2863 shares @ 6.6¢·now 3.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$95.91
$-94.09
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?
913 shares @ 14.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$29.68
$-98.01
- YES
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.16
$7.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?$175.39Aug 12, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$205.85Aug 12, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?$317.04Aug 12, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?$28.56Aug 6, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$31.14Aug 6, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$103.48Aug 6, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?$103.20Aug 6, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$100.24Aug 2, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?$103.22Aug 1, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?$51.73Aug 1, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?$102.08Aug 1, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?$307.44Aug 1, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$507.60Aug 1, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$80.76Jul 31, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$103.96Jul 31, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$311.14Jul 31, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$103.44Jul 29, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$72.59Jul 29, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$368.53Jul 29, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$15.75Jul 29, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $125.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 01:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.