Substantial-Kitsch
0xd2d61964ebda663e5ec0da885e7480f7a38bb8e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-165.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
179 shares @ 78.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$156.80
$16.80
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 62.7¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$134.28
$8.54
- YES
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
96 shares @ 20.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$22.67
$2.67
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$21.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$21.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$21.00
$1.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$20.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$20.77
$0.77
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$20.71
$0.71
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$20.67
$0.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$26.35Jun 9, 21:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-27?$20.50Jun 7, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$20.55Jun 7, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?$20.49Jun 7, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-26?$20.52Jun 7, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$20.46Jun 7, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?$20.52Jun 7, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$20.47Jun 7, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$20.46Jun 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-24?$20.47Jun 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-24?$20.52Jun 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-24?$20.54Jun 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$20.51Jun 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?$20.53Jun 7, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $20.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 20:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.