0xd2e53ca15f36c15a28a60ba4ae50c5346683925f
0xd2e53ca15f36c15a28a60ba4ae50c5346683925f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$281.38
Total PnL
$-591.20
Realised
$-3.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
233 shares @ 33.1¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$99.15
$22.03
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
305 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$48.63
$-1.37
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
893 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$47.77
$-2.23
- YES
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
60 shares @ 54.6¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$47.72
$14.72
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
357 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.46
$-0.54
- YES
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
115 shares @ 26.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.65
$-21.35
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump not sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill by November 29?
903 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
833 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?
536 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.82Jun 2, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.42Jun 2, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.25Jun 2, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$17.55May 5, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$16.95May 5, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$65.22May 5, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$65.22May 5, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$28.49May 5, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$10.00Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$5.00Mar 15, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$15.00Mar 15, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$15.00Mar 15, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wintermute be accused of insider trading?$5.00Feb 25, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $26.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".