Silky-Hardship
0xd2fd408cbaa26d3892b079766e8165d7be15f0b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-966.34
Realised
$13.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
729 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-87.48
- SYDNEY KINGS
Adelaide 36ers vs. Sydney Kings
702 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-428.22
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
697 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-174.25
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
459 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-41.31
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?
324 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-226.80
- YES
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?
133 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.76
- VILLARREAL CF
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
28 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-6.16
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$20.70Apr 27, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$316.94Apr 27, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$381.68Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$377.30Apr 11, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$4.83Apr 11, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$371.28Apr 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$371.17Apr 9, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$394.63Apr 7, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$279.62Mar 30, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$115.09Mar 30, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$279.62Mar 30, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$88.01Mar 30, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?$281.01Mar 26, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$29.40Mar 25, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$47.25Mar 25, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?$9.57Mar 25, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?$290.58Mar 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdelaide 36ers vs. Sydney Kings$428.22Mar 25, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$45.90Mar 25, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$50.40Mar 25, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $166.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.