Rigid-Census
0xd312ee222979444109999573bfc5de95282d7236
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$-358.94
Realised
$293.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15304 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-377.85
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
3084 shares @ 54.9¢·now 75.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.3K
$622.01
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1300 shares @ 59.9¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$448.37
$-330.63
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 66.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$309.00
$-87.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
700 shares @ 61.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$210.00
$-217.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
270 shares @ 50.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$106.65
$-28.35
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.00
$-30.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.00
$-17.00
- NO
Will Lautaro Martínez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jun 14, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$70.10Jun 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$46.43Jun 13, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$3.57Jun 13, 03:30 UTC
- REWARD$2.78Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$88.00Jun 12, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$0.32Jun 12, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$3.30Jun 12, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$3.30Jun 12, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$3.08Jun 12, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$100.00Jun 12, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$136.00Jun 12, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$104.00Jun 12, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$120.00Jun 12, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$276.00Jun 11, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$87.34Jun 11, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$24.66Jun 11, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$480.00Jun 11, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$195.00Jun 11, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$15.60Jun 11, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $133.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 01:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.