Orange-Spume
0xd31ee495e57b420c51ba64b7b97285cbe566b202
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$9.59
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-2.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
3 shares @ 79.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 78.8¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
600 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-312.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
600 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-305.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
570 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-319.20
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
545 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
450 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-202.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.33Jun 2, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$3.52Jun 1, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$3.48May 31, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.15May 30, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00May 27, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01May 27, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$10.19May 27, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?$1.00May 27, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00May 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?$1.00May 12, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.16May 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.02May 1, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.03May 1, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.04May 1, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.08May 1, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$10.00Apr 16, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.00Apr 16, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.00Apr 16, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $85.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".