Past-Reality
0xd3499a0f065889d9a2bf1e0d2cdbbba94e4af37d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$28.17
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$-822.04
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
60 shares @ 63.4¢·now 46.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$28.17
$-9.85
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
2083 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?
1050 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.15
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
998 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-499.07
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
900 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-528.35
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
711 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-391.48
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
700 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-226.66
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
500 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
500 shares @ 75.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-377.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
500 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-394.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$38.44May 31, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$50.00May 31, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$21.00May 30, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$10.04May 29, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$3.00May 29, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$7.62May 29, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?$1.04May 29, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$5.87May 27, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$3.92May 27, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?$14.56May 27, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.14May 27, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$4.20May 24, 23:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.33Apr 6, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$49.91Apr 5, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - April 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$17.00Apr 5, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$14.54Apr 5, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$3.35Apr 5, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$10.05Apr 5, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$20.10Apr 5, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$35.24Apr 5, 06:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 05:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".