Petty-Stacking
0xd35694160b7bc6f734ab2e95072686aceb1a963d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$576.19
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-11.42
Win rate
50%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
237 shares @ 19.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$55.31
$10.30
- YES
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
685 shares @ 24.1¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.55
$-119.56
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
63 shares @ 39.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$40.28
$15.54
- YES
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
532 shares @ 16.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.22
$-59.90
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
371 shares @ 16.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.40
$-41.36
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 38.6¢·now 44.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.03
$2.52
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
24 shares @ 50.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.32
$4.32
- NO
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
26 shares @ 47.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$16.08
$4.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?
17 shares @ 69.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$15.65
$3.65
- NO
Will Astralis make playoffs?
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.85
$2.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$3.47Aug 12, 02:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.54Aug 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Aug 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$12.24Aug 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.08Aug 11, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$12.40Aug 11, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$1.71Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.77Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.05Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.88Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.10Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.60Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.16Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.05Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.03Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.01Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.58Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.03Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$0.51Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 02:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.