Spectacular-Nephew
0xd35911f258315861800b91228d241d68786e52dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will a candidate from another party win US Michigan Senate Election?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Fulham wins the Premier League?
148 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?
142 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin US Senate Election?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
131 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Dakota US Senate Election?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Maine US Senate Election?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Washington US Senate Election?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$248.50Jul 2, 09:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.38Jul 1, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.30Jul 1, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.86Jun 30, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$248.75Jun 29, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$248.50Jun 29, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$248.75Jun 29, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMOperário Ferroviário EC vs. América FC: Both Teams to Score$51.00Jun 27, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOperário Ferroviário EC vs. América FC: Both Teams to Score$27.41Jun 26, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?$228.33Jun 26, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?$228.67Jun 26, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?$228.33Jun 26, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?$228.67Jun 26, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$62.26Jun 25, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$82.00Jun 25, 14:04 UTC
- REWARD$1.64Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.17Jun 24, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.22Jun 24, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$247.19Jun 18, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$247.57Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $124.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.