Verifiable-Grandpa
0xd362b6242782fbbd4db25d7d930594f0243e70b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$2.15
Total PnL
$-769.37
Realised
$-20.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.15
$-1.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
600 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-522.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
600 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released on February 7, 2026?
381 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released on February 21, 2026?
287 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released on February 20, 2026?
286 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released on February 15, 2026?
225 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released on February 18, 2026?
224 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released on February 16, 2026?
221 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.38
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released on February 17, 2026?
216 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$200.00Mar 4, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$85.20Mar 2, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$108.60Mar 2, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$466.53Mar 2, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$199.99Mar 2, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$4.50Feb 14, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$4.50Feb 14, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$104.27Feb 14, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$6.72Feb 14, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 25, 2026?$1.11Feb 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 25, 2026?$0.26Feb 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 25, 2026?$0.33Feb 11, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 25, 2026?$0.07Feb 10, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 25, 2026?$0.29Feb 10, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 25, 2026?$0.13Feb 10, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 25, 2026?$0.43Feb 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 26, 2026?$0.13Feb 8, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 26, 2026?$0.03Feb 7, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 26, 2026?$0.22Feb 7, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 26, 2026?$0.25Feb 7, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $16.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 18:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 11:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".