Unwieldy-Shrimp
0xd366d6e6680d8a840d538aea98ec7b4d744d0184
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$-145.69
Win rate
6%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-24.98
- YES
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-17?
18964 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
1203 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
962 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
846 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
594 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
568 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
513 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club win on 2026-07-28?$2.08Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.43Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.06Jul 25, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$10.35Jul 24, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$10.45Jul 24, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$10.39Jul 24, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$16.45Jul 24, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$26.16Jul 24, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$28.23Jul 24, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$25.94Jul 24, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLCA Boca Juniors leading at halftime?$20.70Jul 24, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$7.39Jul 24, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.16Jul 24, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$9.58Jul 24, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.21Jul 24, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Boca Juniors leading at halftime?$5.19Jul 24, 01:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.01Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$19.23Jul 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$10.34Jul 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$7.92Jul 21, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
200 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $42.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.