Tough-Abacus
0xd36c47ebc66a87461d6217545f95d4c8c5fcc23e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$3.53
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.46
$-0.54
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.05Jan 26, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$1.00Jan 15, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.02Jan 15, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill only OP_CTV be activated in 2025?$1.00Jan 7, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.03Jan 7, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy's mNAV reach 2.50 by December 31?$3.02Jan 7, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$4.19Jan 7, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 12, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.03Dec 12, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.03Dec 11, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.16Dec 11, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$4.85Dec 9, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$495.15Dec 9, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$500.00Dec 9, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $139.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 05:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".