Every-Temptress
0xd372b093f979707e15bd7cf566d3add61153b106
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$11.18
Total PnL
$-44.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
41 shares @ 2.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.10
$1.10
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.3¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$1.87
$0.87
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 17.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by August 31?$1.00Jul 8, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$1.00Jul 8, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$0.07Jul 8, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$0.03Jul 8, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$0.05Jul 8, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$0.02Jul 8, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$1.03Jul 7, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$1.03Jul 7, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.04Jul 5, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.02Jul 5, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$1.03Jul 5, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 5, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$2.08Jul 5, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$0.00Jul 5, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.03Jul 5, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?$1.91Jul 1, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?$1.04Jul 1, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?$1.04Jul 1, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?$1.04Jul 1, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?$1.04Jul 1, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.