Flustered-Mansard
0xd386efd9f8d907203e2a70dbbc81ece4d7d5f2da
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.41
Realised
$-0.13
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Borussia Dortmund win the Bundesliga?
150 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
89 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
David Cameron next Conservative party leader?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?
2 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?
2 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?
2 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win the Bundesliga?$1.20Jan 22, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.00Dec 27, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDavid Cameron next Conservative party leader?$0.01Oct 30, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.01Oct 30, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.01Oct 30, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?$0.01Oct 30, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?$0.02Oct 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?$0.00Oct 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.01Oct 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.05Oct 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Patriots win the AFC Championship?$0.02Oct 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Patriots win the AFC Championship?$0.03Oct 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.02Oct 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.03Oct 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?$0.03Oct 30, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?$0.11Oct 30, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.01Oct 30, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?$0.02Oct 30, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.04Oct 30, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 09:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 16:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".