Constant-Nougat
0xd39192785a1bb353b46bb59cca6b7a6130bb1e21
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$311.75
Total PnL
$-31.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
3727 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$128.57
$8.57
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
15714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$102.14
$-7.84
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
810 shares @ 13.9¢·now 10.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$81.04
$-31.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$117.86May 15, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$125.81May 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$115.46May 15, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $119.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 12:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".