Left-Poncho
0xd3a381c139e2906e1949b9d9a5dd8ff6492b3150
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$45.42
Total PnL
$-50.43
Realised
$19.34
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
80 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.60
$0.40
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
340 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.37
$0.17
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
340 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.72
$0.68
- YES
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1010 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.52
$0.50
- YES
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
47 shares @ 10.2¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.03
$-2.79
- YES
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
730 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$-0.36
- YES
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
290 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$1.45
$-0.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.37Jun 14, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.05Jun 14, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.08Jun 14, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.03Jun 14, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.17Jun 14, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.01Jun 14, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.09Jun 14, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.11Jun 14, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.08Jun 14, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.20Jun 13, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$2.05Jun 12, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$2.06Jun 12, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.21Jun 10, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.25Jun 10, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.25Jun 10, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.18Jun 10, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?$2.55Jun 10, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.16Jun 10, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.12Jun 9, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.22Jun 9, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.