Left-Poncho
0xd3a381c139e2906e1949b9d9a5dd8ff6492b3150
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$60.35
Total PnL
$2.36
Realised
$31.39
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
38 shares @ 27.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.45
$0.16
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.20
$-0.20
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
72 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$-1.08
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
72 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.64
$-1.44
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
16 shares @ 66.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.52
$-3.04
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
460 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.45
$-1.61
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
230 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.07
$0.00
- YES
Will Amazon have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.93
$-3.07
- YES
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
140 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$1.89
$-0.21
- YES
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$2.098h ago
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$22.898h ago
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$21.698h ago
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$16.398h ago
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$15.009h ago
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$38.009h ago
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$76.029h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$182.159h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$2.859h ago
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$3.471d ago
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$1.031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$0.211d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.061d ago
- TRADESELLDota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs$223.771d ago
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs$232.691d ago
- REDEEMGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.301d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?$5.522d ago
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$0.202d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$4.982d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $21.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.