Acidic-Bullfighter
0xd3b549ac093937556b7d84dc600c9cc8de5d66d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$302.89
Total PnL
$-690.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$200.00
$3.40
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
103 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$102.89
$2.89
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?
1930 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-335.66
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
335 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-295.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
173 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-34.65
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
165 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-31.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$495.50Mar 5, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$495.11Mar 5, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$103.52Mar 1, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$166.70Feb 28, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$965.13Feb 27, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$300.00Feb 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$600.00Feb 27, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$72.05Feb 27, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$4.30Feb 27, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$3.79Feb 27, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$4.70Feb 27, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$81.70Feb 27, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$80.71Feb 27, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$81.83Feb 27, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$58.12Feb 27, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$500.00Feb 27, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$174.00Feb 26, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?$196.60Feb 26, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$5.73Feb 25, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$5.73Feb 25, 14:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $223.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 13:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.