Third-Pan
0xd3ba2c42422d7f745ad3769227638293d1aa844a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$93.99
Total PnL
$-12.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$25.02
$0.03
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$24.69
$4.69
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$23.26
$3.26
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$21.02
$1.02
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$20.00Jan 10, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$20.00Jan 10, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$20.00Jan 10, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 10?$25.00Jan 10, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$20.00Jan 10, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $17.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 15:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.