Ideal-Underestimate
0xd3baee117003ef11a05e4af64a50bd3dade6ae1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$163.08
Total PnL
$2.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?
30 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$29.81
$0.27
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
29 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$28.69
$0.14
- NO
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
28 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$27.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 20-26?
26 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$26.10
$0.23
- NO
Trump out as President by April 30?
26 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$25.91
$0.16
- NO
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
25 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$24.94
$0.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$27.00Apr 21, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$28.55Apr 21, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 20-26?$25.88Apr 21, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?$29.56Apr 21, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?$24.11Apr 21, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$25.75Apr 21, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$22.68Apr 21, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$22.77Apr 21, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$27.13Apr 21, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$28.03Apr 21, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMSolana all time high by March 31, 2026?$29.25Apr 21, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$30.09Apr 21, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$22.00Feb 23, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$27.75Feb 23, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high by March 31, 2026?$28.93Feb 23, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$29.55Feb 23, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$26.89Feb 23, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$22.45Feb 23, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$20.14Feb 23, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$21.76Feb 23, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $25.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.