Conventional-Riser
0xd3c0ed696ce7a18d806ed22d213e0b55fb77a181
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.96
Total PnL
$-95.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 June 1-7?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.21
$-0.04
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?
1215 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-26.48
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
459 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
450 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 11?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
229 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.42
- YES
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 12?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Jonas Sulzbach be the next person eliminated from Big Brother Brasil 26?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 June 1-7?$1.00Jun 4, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$1.50May 23, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$1.50May 22, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?$0.22Apr 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?$1.49Apr 16, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?$1.45Apr 15, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?$0.30Apr 14, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?$0.67Apr 14, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 12?$0.04Apr 12, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 12?$0.01Apr 12, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 12?$0.95Apr 12, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 11?$1.47Apr 11, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 11?$0.03Apr 11, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?$5.00Apr 10, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?$5.21Apr 10, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?$0.02Apr 9, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?$0.02Apr 9, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?$5.50Apr 9, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?$5.75Apr 9, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?$5.75Apr 9, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 04:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 01:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".