0xd3c5d8b238dcacc5947e4a52a48bd8929b27907f
0xd3c5d8b238dcacc5947e4a52a48bd8929b27907f
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-117.63
Realised
$-6.63
Win rate
0%
56 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- KOREA REPUBLIC
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Korea Republic vs Papua New Guinea
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- UNIVERSIDAD CENTRAL DE VENEZUELA FC
Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET
93 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- CHENNAIYIN FC
Spread: Chennaiyin FC (-2.5)
45 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 19?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 0 - 1 Portland Timbers?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- MFK KARVINÁ
Spread: MFK Karviná (-2.5)
22 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?
20 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 12?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$5.13Aug 15, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)$5.14Aug 14, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill PAOK win on 2026-08-13?$5.13Aug 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$2.94Aug 13, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$0.00Aug 13, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$2.78Aug 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PAOK win on 2026-08-13?$3.14Aug 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)$2.48Aug 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?$8.40Aug 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$2.86Aug 13, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2026-08-08?$0.00Aug 8, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2026-08-08?$7.12Aug 8, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 8?$9.31Aug 8, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 8?$6.69Aug 6, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 5?$5.12Aug 6, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?$6.47Aug 5, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers$8.21Aug 5, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers$6.02Aug 5, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals$6.74Aug 5, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals$5.12Aug 5, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 56 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
56 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $4.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 02:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 56 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.