Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)
Probability
1¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-1.4pp
24h Vol
$50.00
Liquidity
$13.7K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
-30.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 1¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $13.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:22SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 0h ago
Price movement
-1.4pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -25.1pp at 02:00 (to 2¢).
Show top 8 of 58 hourly moves
- 12:00 · -24.8pp → 2¢
- 11:00 · -24.8pp → 2¢
- 09:00 · -24.8pp → 2¢
- 08:00 · -24.7pp → 2¢
- 06:00 · -25.1pp → 2¢
- 04:00 · -25.1pp → 2¢
- 03:00 · -25.1pp → 2¢
- 02:00 · -25.1pp → 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
1- BUYUNIVERSIDAD CENTRAL DE VENEZUELA FC2m ago
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Market Description
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for May 5 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Universidad Central de Venezuela FC" if Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Independiente del Valle". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
